Vitality Stadium has been an open ground for Bournemouth, and Brentford arrive with one of the more productive attacks in this run of fixtures. The hosts just put four past Lincoln at home, while the visitors have stacked 6–1 and 7–0 wins into the same month. Four of the last five meetings between these sides also went beyond two goals. That mix of home chaos and Brentford’s finishing is why over 2.5 is the lead selection.
Bournemouth sit 14th, but they are still getting on the scoresheet. They scored in the 4–0 home win over Lincoln and in both draws with Newcastle and Everton. Even the recent 1–2 losses at Manchester City and Mainz were not blanks. With a full group available and a stadium that has been generous to their attack, the Cherries scoring at least once is the most straightforward of the three markets.
Brentford are fifth and have not been limited to a single-goal outing when their attack clicks. The 6–1 at Birmingham and 3–0 over Tottenham show they can produce a second goal in the same match, and they have regularly found Bournemouth in this fixture — including 4–1 and 3–2 wins in the last 18 months. Team 2 over 1.5 is the most aggressive of the three tips, which is why it sits at a shorter confidence than the totals and home-score lines.
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